Goldman Sachs cut its view of U.S. department stores to Neutral from Attractive. Specifically, the broker downgraded J.C. Penney (NYSE: JCP) and Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN) to Neutral from Buy after its commodity team upped 2008 oil price forecasts to $149 a barrel. Still, Goldman upgraded TJX Cos. (NYSE: TJX) to Buy from Neutral and removed Kohl's Corp. (NYSE: KSS) from its conviction-buy list in favor of Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT).
By now I'm getting confused with all the deals Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is signing with wireless operators to sell the iPhone in different countries around the world. I believe the past two weeks we heard of at least two deals, including one with a S.Korean company. Today, French wireless operator Orange said it has signed a deal to sell its iPhone in the Middle East, Africa and several European countries. Orange will be the exclusive iPhone provider in Belgium and Romania. It seems that by now Apple's got the world covered.
General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) is apparently considering launching its Chevrolet brand in South Korea. In its attempt to stay ahead of fast growing Toyota (NYSE: TM), GM will try to capture a larger share of S.Korea's growing market for imported cars.
All of those green people in all of those green cars. The Toyota (NYSE: TM) Prius was a gamble when the auto company first designed and built it. The price was more than its "all gas" counterparts because the electric component of the engine was expensive to build. The Japanese firm had to bet that buyers would want to save the environment by purchasing an automobile aimed at cutting emissions.
All of that planning by Toyota worked. The Prius has now sold one million units worldwide. Reuters says that the car company said "Toyota believes that Prius vehicles worldwide have contributed to a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions by producing approximately 4.5 million tonnes less CO2 when compared with gasoline-powered vehicles in the same class and of similar size and driving performance."
And who is to say that the calculation is wrong, at least by much.
Toyota has once again put its competition in a situation where they have to catch up. When the company began to produce almost flawless cars 20 years ago, Detroit and Europe had to up their quality to stay in the game. Now they will need to aggressively follow Toyota into the hybrid market.
Being first to market sometimes has its advantages.
Nissan Motor Corp. (NASDAQ: NSANY), Japan's third-largest automaker, announced this morning higher fourth quarter profit, but forecast a decline in profit for the current year, blaming an unfavorable rising yen and soaring material costs.
Nissan Motor announced that its profit during the quarter jumped 67% to 137.6 billion yen ($1.3 billion). And its income figures were definitely something to cheer about. During its fourth quarter last year, the company had a profit of 82.2 billion yen. Excluding one-time "fifth-quarter" numbers, the company's earnings figures would have showed a surge of 95%.
Despite the positive results, the automaker isn't optimistic about its future earnings and issued a gloomy outlook. The company expects net income for the current year to drop 30% to 340 billion yen ($3.3 billion), which is below the 368 billion yen that analysts at Factset Research predicted. Nissan cited unfavorable currency exchange, higher commodity and energy prices, and increased material expenses.
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Gasoline prices continue to increase along with crude prices, and the latter seem to find a new record every single day. Wasn't it just a few months ago that the media was going crazy about oil reaching the $100 per barrel mark? It hit $122 this week. Now, that's not a year later; that's less than half a year later. It's not surprising then that automakers with an inflexible SUV-selling strategy are getting pummeled, while automakers with a decent offering of gas-efficient vehicles are seeing product mix changes in retail sales.
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), which showed a surprising profit in its most recent quarter, said that it plans to really up the presence of gas-efficient six-speed transmissions by the end of 2009, and wants to have these transmissions in 98% of its North American vehicles by 2012. If Ford follows through with this commitment, it'll be a game-changer for the industry. And, it will force General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) to do the same thing. Ford stated that the newer 6-speed automatics will get 4% to 6% better gas mileage than the standard 4-speed and 5-speed automatic transmissions.
GM is not sitting idly by at the same time, though. It debuted a 6-speed automatic transmission in the popular 2008 Chevy Malibu, which it is pitting as a strong competitor to market leaders Honda Motor (NYSE: HMC) Accord and Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM) Camry. Will the new trend in the consumer vehicle market be smaller 4-cylinder engines with advanced, fuel-efficient 6-speed automatic transmissions? You can count on it until oil prices fall to $50 a barrel. And, that'll be when pigs fly.
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U.S. stock futures were higher early Thursday morning as investors digested Toyota's earnings and awaited sales reports from several large retailers.
This is after on Wednesday, U.S. stocks dropped as oil futures surged past $123 a barrel and financials showed more weakness. The Dow industrials fell 206 points, or 1.59%, the Nasdaq Composite fell 44 points, or 1.80%, and the S&P 500 dropped 25 points, or 1.81%.
But today stocks looked set to recover from the previous session large pull back. While Toyota's results show the automaker also struggling in the U.S. market, a stronger dollar may have helped boost sentiment. Investors also expect April retail sales to be strong rising about 1.5% to 2% due to an extra selling day and warmer weather at the beginning of the month.
Not much economic data is due today, only weekly initial jobless claims and March wholesale inventories.
Also on the docket today is a vote the housing aid bill, the Democrats' plan to help strapped homeowners refinance into government-backed mortgages. Already blamed by many for not doing enough to address the crisis, President Bush will likely veto the measures.
Even a global company like Toyota (NYSE:TM) cannot escape the slowdown in the US market. The Japanese auto company reported it Q4 profits dropped 27%, more than expected.
Bloomberg reports, "The slowdown in the U.S. really hit Toyota,'' said Koichi Ogawa, chief portfolio manager at Daiwa SB Investments Ltd. in Tokyo, which oversees $28 billion in assets. "The market has yet to hit bottom.'' Indeed, for most car companies, US sales fell by double digits in April. Toyota did somewhat better, but "somewhat" is not enough.
The news reflects how difficult it is for multinationals to do well when the world's largest consumer market is doing poorly. It raises the question about what the financial results from large companies in Europe and Asia will look like as the year goes on.
The Toyota earnings are a sign that the US slowdown could move to export companies in places such as China and Vietnam, which rely heavily on selling goods into the American market. The bad news from America is starting to send waves to foreign shores.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com and author of the Ten Stocks Under $10 letter.
In a bow to the power of the weak U.S. dollar, AP reports that Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM) is raising prices on some of its lower-priced cars. A weak dollar relative to the Yen puts downward pressure on earnings for Toyota since sales in dollars get translated into fewer Yen -- the currency in which Toyota reports earnings.
So, Toyota is trying to raise prices on its more popular, higher gas mileage models in the U.S. figuring it will lose less market share because of the strong demand as consumers -- sickened by paying so much of their income for gasoline as it powers through $4 a gallon -- scramble for Toyota's more fuel-efficient vehicles.
AP reports that Toyota's price increases, which will start in the middle of May, include a hike of $200 on the 2008 Yaris sedan, which will cost $12,425. The 2009 Camry will go up $200 to $18,920. The hybrid Camry, introduced as a 2007 model in late 2006, will cost $300 more, at $25,650. For example, the price of the Lexus IS 350 entry sports sedan will rise $300 to $36,305. However, the pricing of the 2008 Lexus IS F high-performance sports sedan won't change.
News Corp (NYSE: NWS) is scheduled to report earning Wednesday and is estimated to post a profit of 31 cents a share in the fiscal third quarter.
In its attempt to answer consumer demand, Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) said Wednesday it plans to greatly increase the use of more fuel-efficient six-speed automatic transmissions. The six-speed automatic transmission, which offers 4-6% better fuel economy, will be in 98% of its North American vehicles by 2012.
Seems that after the recent dealing with Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO), Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) Chairman Bill Gates has had enough. He said the company isn't pursuing other deals for now and that Microsoft and Yahoo! should pursue "independent paths." Microsoft still has to show shareholders improvement in Vista and its struggling internet business.
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For two companies with similar backgrounds, Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM) and Honda Motor Co. (NYSE: HMC) have grown markedly different. Toyota has taken a vertical approach to become arguably the world's premier brand in combining high volume sales with high-quality products. Honda has taken a much more horizontal route, dipping its feet successfully into a wide range of products.
In 2007 Toyota passed Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) as the world's second largest auto manufacturer. However, some question whether this victory came at the sacrifice of quality; Consumer Reports, which had consistently rated the company's cars at the top of its quality rankings, declined to recommend many of its models due to concern about slipping reliability. Its secondary line of autos, the Scion, which is targeted to a younger driver, is still scrambling for traction in this crowded field.
Honda's horizontal approach has taken it into farm and garden equipment, lawn mowers, motorcycles, even airplanes and soybeans. However, four-wheeled vehicles remain its core industry. Toyota's quality stumbles have opened up the field for Honda's reliable, affordable if unsexy lineup. The new subcompact Fit has replaced the Civic at the bottom of its price structure.
Despite a challenging economic environment, Japanese automaker Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM) has been continuing its strong competition with rival General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) for the title of the world's largest automaker. As results show, the good times are rolling for Toyota which earlier today posted an increase of 2.7% for its global sales, for a total of 2.41 million vehicles during the first-quarter.
On the other side of the coin, GM announced a decline of almost 1% in its total sales. Last year, General Motors held the crown in global sales, but on the other hand Toyota was the leader in global vehicle production. Both companies benefited from strong demand outside the United States.
General Motors has said that strong overseas sales weren't enough to overcome a weak North American market. The company saw a 10% drop in first-quarter sales in its home North American market as high fuel prices and worries about housing and the credit crunch pressured consumers. Regardless of the weak results, GM restated its desire to "win, and we'd like to be No. 1 in sales at the end of the year."
The Wall Street Journal thinks that the turnaround at Ford (NYSE: F) may be taking hold. If so, no one on Wall Street knows about it. The auto company's shares trade at $7.65, down from a 52-week high of $8.70. Ford's US market share is only about 15%. It has had double-digit declines in US sales most of the last few months.
The newspaper's reasoning is based on Ford's better earnings and the fact that "the quality ratings of Ford vehicles spiked and now approach the lofty levels of Toyota Motor Corp. That chopped $1 billion off Ford's warranty costs last year."
The theory that the company is doing better is flawed. Ford's quality may be getting better, but the difference in quality among all of the big automakers has shrunk in the last several years. Ford's cars may work better, but many Americans would still rather buy Toyotas (NYSE: TM) and Hondas (NYSE: HMC) because of their reputations as being nearly defect-free.
Some of Ford's new small cars and crossovers may be doing relatively well. But the company makes a great deal of its profit off of its pick-ups and SUVs, especially the F-150 truck. Sales of these vehicles have been dropping as fuel prices rise.
Ford is now also up against higher gas prices and consumers who do not have the money to buy new cars
Things at Ford might get better, but for the most part, that will have to be in the future.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
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